Working Notes on Agent Systems/Brad Zhang

@teach_fireworks / X longform

Ilya’s latest interview: Current approaches will “go a while and then go downhill” They will continue to

Ilya’s latest interview: Current approaches will “go a while and then go downhill” They will continue to improve, but they will not achieve general artificial intelligence...

November 25, 2025 · 1 min read

Ilya’s latest interview: Current approaches will “go a while and then go downhill” They will continue to
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Ilya’s latest interview: Current approaches will “go a while and then go downhill” They will continue to improve, but they will not achieve general artificial intelligence The kind of systems that work are “the kind we don’t know how to build yet” Expected to have a significant impact on the labor market in the coming years Major bottleneck: the ability to generalize.

Models are far inferior to humans at this You can train a model to solve all competitive programming problems, but the model still won't develop real "taste", whereas a teenager has about 10 You can learn to drive in hours.

The evaluation scores look great, but the actual performance is very poor, because the reinforcement learning training will eventually be optimized for the evaluation itself.

Interview address: The following are my views on the big AI infrastructure in the United States.

They are basically based on the continuation of the current route.

It is feasible in five years, but it is really not necessarily true in five to ten years, and it is unlikely that the value created in five years will be greater than what they invested.

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