Working Notes on Agent Systems/Brad Zhang

@teach_fireworks / X longform

I saw a passage on Twitter today that seemed interesting, so I shared it. Tomorrow is a...

I saw a passage on Twitter today that seemed interesting, so I shared it. Tomorrow is another day of things happening gradually. Whether it is a good turning point or a bad turn...

December 9, 2025 · 1 min read

I saw a passage on Twitter today that seemed interesting, so I shared it. Tomorrow is a...
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I saw a passage on Twitter today that seemed interesting, so I shared it.

Tomorrow is another day of things happening gradually.

Whether it is a good turning point or a bad turning point, there is a "gradually, then suddenly" (gradually, then suddenly) pattern.

One key here is that you can't accurately predict ahead of time where the "sudden" turning point will be.

That's why this thing is called "sudden".

You don’t know which straw is the straw that breaks the camel’s back, you just know that if you continue to add straw like this, it will break the camel sooner or later.

Similarly, as long as you continue to accumulate comprehensively, there will definitely be a breakthrough sooner or later, but it is impossible to predict in advance at which point and time the breakthrough will occur.

But precisely because it is impossible to accurately predict in advance, many people equate it to the turning point not happening.

So I indulge in bad habits that accumulate without correcting them, and I don’t bother to cultivate good habits because I can’t see the rewards in the short term.

Then, any sudden bad turn that you encounter or a good turn that others gain is called luck.

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FORMATTOPICCAPABILITYMARKETcoverssignalsFORMATlongform noteTOPICagentic devtoolsMARKETopen-source builders
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I saw a passage on Twitter today that seemed interesting, so I shared it. Tomorrow is...THESISI saw a passage onTwitter today thatseemed interesting, soI shared it. TomorrowSIGNALI saw a passage onTwitter today thatseemed interesting, soI shared it.OPERATORYou don’t know whichstraw is the strawthat breaks thecamel’s back, you justIMPLICATIONThen, any sudden badturn that youencounter or a goodturn that others gain
Mermaid outline
flowchart LR
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  signal["I saw a passage on Twitter today that seemed interesting, so I shared it."]
  operator["You don’t know which straw is the straw that breaks the camel’s back, you just know that if you continue to..."]
  implication["Then, any sudden bad turn that you encounter or a good turn that others gain is called luck."]
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