Working Notes on Agent Systems/Brad Zhang

@teach_fireworks / X longform

Scaling Law has at least five more years to go, and storage is at least three years short!

Scaling Law has at least five more years to go, and storage is at least three years short! 26 years of widely proven loop engineering, long-term tasks will take on high-value ta...

July 9, 2026 路 1 min read

Scaling Law has at least five more years to go, and storage is at least three years short!

26 years of widely proven loop engineering, long-term tasks will take on high-value tasks above the 7-point level, and more and more users are willing to spend more to get a better experience.

A year ago, I didn鈥檛 quite believe that I would subscribe to an AI service for $200 per month, but now it feels like it costs $400馃ぃ Model parameters have reached T-level competition, and the hunger for computing power will continue.

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FORMATTOPICCAPABILITYMARKETcoversFORMATlongform noteTOPICretrieval
Mermaid outline
flowchart LR
  format-long_post["longform note"]
  topic-retrieval["retrieval"]
  format-long_post -->|covers| topic-retrieval

Visual structure

Essay structure map

Built from summary and key paragraph positions

Scaling Law has at least five more years to go, and storage is at least three years s...THESISScaling Law has atleast five more yearsto go, and storage isat least three yearsSIGNALScaling Law has atleast five more yearsto go, and storage isat least three yearsOPERATOR26 years of widelyproven loopengineering, long-termtasks will take onIMPLICATIONA year ago, I didn鈥檛quite believe that Iwould subscribe to anAI service for $200
Mermaid outline
flowchart LR
  thesis["Scaling Law has at least five more years to go, and storage is at least three years short! 26 years of wide..."]
  signal["Scaling Law has at least five more years to go, and storage is at least three years short!"]
  operator["26 years of widely proven loop engineering, long-term tasks will take on high-value tasks above the 7-point..."]
  implication["A year ago, I didn鈥檛 quite believe that I would subscribe to an AI service for $200 per month, but now it f..."]
  thesis -->|frames| signal
  signal -->|develops| operator
  operator -->|lands in| implication

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